Can Elon Musk Make Twitter’s Numbers Work?

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Nonetheless, the rates of interest on the loans replicate the chance that they may not receives a commission again. The banks don’t maintain on to the loans however promote them to different traders available in the market, so if Twitter can’t pay its money owed, Mr. Musk will both need to pay these traders, maybe by promoting extra Tesla inventory, or he may cede some a part of his possession of Twitter, diluting his stake.

Tesla had a market worth of $902 billion as of Friday, however its shares have fallen by practically 20 p.c since Mr. Musk first revealed, in early April, that he had purchased a giant stake in Twitter. If Twitter’s funds go south, forcing Mr. Musk to promote extra Tesla inventory to pay Twitter’s money owed or pledge extra shares as collateral for his private loans, it may put additional stress on Tesla’s inventory value. Mr. Musk doesn’t take a wage from Tesla however is paid in inventory that’s launched based mostly on efficiency milestones that embody the corporate’s share value.

Since Mr. Musk first disclosed his stake, the tech-heavy Nasdaq index has fallen greater than 10 p.c, making his provide seem much more beneficiant. “It’s a excessive value and your shareholders will like it,” Mr. Musk mentioned in a letter to Twitter’s board. Though the social media firm’s inventory had traded greater than Mr. Musk’s provide simply six months in the past, it slumped far under that value early this yr and regarded unlikely to return to these highs any time quickly.

Mr. Musk has thought of teaming up with funding corporations in his bid to purchase Twitter, which would scale back the sum of money he would personally have to take a position. He may nonetheless companion with a agency or different traders like household places of work to assist elevate money, in keeping with two individuals with information of the discussions.

Thoma Bravo, a technology-focused buyout agency, has expressed willingness to offer some financing, however nothing has been determined but. Apollo, another asset supervisor, additionally checked out a attainable deal the place it could prolong a mortgage on most well-liked phrases.

If the deal math turns into unpalatable for Mr. Musk, he has an out: a breakup payment of $1 billion. For a person with an estimated fortune nicely over $200 billion, that’s a small value to pay.

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